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BusinessPublished by BBC Business • 10/28/2026, 7:51:01 PMOpen Original Report (BBC Business) ↗

Dharshini David: Healey buys himself some time, but big questions still unanswered

While earnings are rising, forecasters predict that is not compensating for higher prices and taxes

Dharshini David: Healey buys himself some time, but big questions still unanswered
Image supplied by BBC Business.

Reported by BBC Business

While earnings are rising, forecasters predict that is not compensating for higher prices and taxes

John Healey talked of charting a new course for Britain, but this Budget was more about course-correcting than charging down a new path.

It was abundantly clear that the financial fallout from that conflict in the Middle East has hampered the finances of households and businesses – and the government's ability to help.

More from the original report

While the government targeted those impacted by higher energy and fuel bills, the "breathing space" it aimed to provide was limited; it is a pill that doesn't fully alleviate the pain.

The most telling evidence was that official forecasters predict that while earnings will rise, that is not compensating for higher prices and taxes.

Even after the extra help is taken into account, households' incomes after inflation and tax are set to be typically lower across the next two years than the start of the parliament. On that basis, it could be the second worse parliament for living standards, after the last one, since the 1950s - a sign of how far the war has blown prosperity off course.

But it can't be all be blamed on the war. Taxes haven't helped. Although there were few major measures aimed at households, the policy of previous chancellors of freezing the thresholds at which different rates of tax on income apply - fiscal drag - has been maintained in the background, scooping more money out of pay packets.

Overall, this Budget has the tax burden - the proportion of the nation's income going to the tax office - rising to a new historic high of 38.6%

However, a more generous package of help would have been hard to pull off. The impact of higher inflation and debt have increased borrowing costs by £14bn in the past year alone.

The Chancellor had to prove to the markets which lend the government money that he has a plan to bring down future debt to avoid those costs climbing further.

As it stands, debt interest repayments are due to be £160bn in 2032, more than double the…

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